Although I’ve had the idea for this posting for a few days, I must say the CNN.com “cover story? that Bush’s approval mark at all-time low did prompt the more timely writing of this posting.
I was thinking lately about Bush’s falling approval rating and then realized something rather interesting:
Bush’s approval ratings go down as his votes go up–Bush had higher approval ratings during the term he did not win the popular vote than the term he did.
Isn’t this interesting? In 2000 Bush lost the popular vote by 539,947 votes, but his approval ratings for his first term generally ranged between 53% and 90%. Granted during his first term there were a few occurrences that upped this approval rating (9/11 and that pesky war in Iraq). In 2004 Bush won the popular vote by 3,012,497 but his approval rates range from 49% to the all time low (for him) of 37%. He did have some things that could have given him a nice bump up, such as Katrina, but apparently he didn’t handle that as well as 9/11.
I am resisting snide comments and a grand ‘ol Bush rant to let the facts stand nearly on their own (and because such comments and rants would take up too much time).
Here are some detailed numbers I spent far too much time tonight gathering:
Election results from cnn.com:
Gore 2000: 50,996,116
Bush 2000: 50,456,169
Bush 2004: 62,040,606
Kerry 2004: 59,028,109
Gallup Poll number from http://www.gallup.com/ (note the dates are often of the posting of the article about the numbers and are often a few days off of the poll dates)
November 14, 2005: 37%
July 20-October 19, 2005: 43.9%
June 28, 2005: 45%
March 31, 2005: 45%
February 12, 2005: 49%
December 11, 2004: 53%
October 2004: 50%
June-August 2004: mid 40’s
December 2003: 63% (after the capture of Saddam Hussein)
September 12 2003: 52%
Late August 2003: 59%
July 02, 2003: above 60%
June 20, 2003: 63%
May 01, 2003: 70% (at war)
March 24, 2003: 71% (at war)
January 28, 2003: 60%
October 12, 2002 and the whole quarter: 68%
June 7, 2002: 70%
March 21, 2003: 80%
December 21, 2001: high-80’s (post 9/11)
October 24, 2001: 88% (post 9/11)
Sept 24, 2001: 90% (post 9/11 and a record high for any president as recorded by Gallop)
August 22, 1001: 57% (pre 9/11)
June 19, 2001: 55%
March 20, 2001: 53%
February 13, 2001: 57% (shortly after entering the office)